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Wednesday, March 03, 2010
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Dwayne Bryant |
| Today's Pick: PHILADELPHIA 76ERS |
NBA
Philadelphia vs. Atlanta
7:05 EST
I love when we have a team getting points who "underachieved" in their last game and is playing a team who overachieved" in their last contest. That's what we have tonight in Atlanta. I realize this is one of those "hold your nose" type plays, but those are some of the best plays.
Atlanta comes into this one off a huge 24-point win at Chicago. They were 1-point dogs, meaning they covered the spread by 25 points. THAT is "overachieving" in my book, which makes this a good spot for a letdown. The oddsmakers and wiseguys agree.
This line opened at Atlanta only -9. I say "only -9" because these two met in Philly in late November. Atlanta was -5.5 in that game and won by 14. Now they play the 76ers at home and the line only goes up 3.5 points?
The line for tonight's game opened at Atlanta -9. At this time, over 6,300 bets have been reported and 74% of those bets have been on the Hawks. Yet the line has dropped to 8.5!
Philly comes into this one off a 21-point loss at home against Orlando. They were only 4-point dogs, so they lost ATS by 17 points. THAT is what I call underachieving, and apparently so does coach Eddie Jordan. Jordan ripped into his team after that loss, accusing his team of having no internal leadership and a poor demeanor.
"I didn't call anyone in particular out," Jordan said. "When I talked about leadership, it went beyond leadership, just someone - someone - to bring some sort of spirit and competitive spirit."
"The message was clear: We need to play better," said guard Lou Williams.
I'm not about to call for an outright win, but the 76ers should be in this game all the way. The 76ers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points, which shows they tend to bounce back strong off an embarrassing loss. And the verbal lashing they took from coach Jordan should only enhance that bounce-back ability tonight. Grab the points with Philadelphia.
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About
the Author:
* betting since the age of 13.
* 71% CFB winners in 2008
* Originator of the 10 bets a week plan
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